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The small look up

Reference row 01 · 5 slides
1/5

Six years after the wedding, the couples still together had looked up for 86 of every 100 “look at this”. The ones who split: 33.

John Gottman, PhD. Newlywed study, reported in The Relationship Cure.
what a “look at this” is »
2/5

“Look at this” is a small question. It means: are you there?

John Gottman filmed 130 newlywed couples in an apartment set up as a lab. He counted every one of these moments. A joke, a photo, a bird outside the window.

Then he counted how often the other person looked up.

what it looks like at home »
3/5

At home it looks like this.

You’re reading. They say “look at this”. You say “one sec”.

You mean it. The minute passes. They’ve put the phone down.

Nobody is upset. That is why it’s easy to miss. Nothing looks like it went wrong.

what looking up took »
4/5

Looking up took about three seconds.

They looked up and said “show me”.

“Show me at dinner” counted too, as long as they asked at dinner.

You’ll hear one tonight.

the source »
5/5

The Relationship Cure

John Gottman, PhD, and Joan DeClaire. 2001.

The 86 and 33 come from Gottman’s newlywed study at the University of Washington. 130 couples observed as newlyweds, checked on six years later.

Reported in his book, not published as a standalone paper.

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The good moments in an argument

Reference row 03 · 5 slides
1/5

During an argument, the couples who stayed together had 5 good moments for every 1 bad one. The couples who split were close to 1 for 1.

Still togetherFigures for every one bad moment
Split up
about 1 to 1
■ good moment □ bad moment
John Gottman and Robert Levenson. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1992.
what counted as a good moment »
2/5

Gottman and Levenson filmed couples arguing about a real problem for 15 minutes. Then they counted every moment.

Good: a joke, a nod, a touch, “fair point”, a question.

Bad: criticism, an eye roll, sarcasm, going quiet.

Years later they checked who was still together.

what the ratio means »
3/5

The couples who lasted still argued. They still had the bad moments.

The difference was what happened in between. They kept laughing, agreeing on small points, and touching each other in the middle of the fight.

Outside of arguments, the same couples were nearer 20 good moments for every bad one.

what it looks like at home »
4/5

At home it’s the argument where one of you says “okay, that’s fair” halfway through.

Or makes a joke and the other one laughs, even though the argument isn’t over.

Those were the moments being counted.

The 5 to 1 happened inside the argument. Both groups had the argument.

the source »
5/5

Marital Processes Predictive of Later Dissolution

John Gottman and Robert Levenson. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 1992. 73 couples, followed for four years.

The 5 to 1 and 20 to 1 figures are how the Gottman Institute summarises this line of research. The 1 to 1 figure for couples who split is from the same summary.

Describes arguments. It was never meant as a daily scorecard.

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When affection fades

Reference row 08 · 5 slides
1/5

The couples who divorced years later had been about a third more affectionate as newlyweds than the couples who stayed happy.

affectionstill happydivorced laterwedding13 years later
Ted Huston, PhD. University of Texas. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2001.
what happened to them »
2/5

Ted Huston interviewed 168 newlywed couples, then kept going back for 13 years.

By the end, about 4 in 10 were happily married, 2 in 10 were married and unhappy, and 3 in 10 had divorced.

Then he looked at what the first two years had predicted.

what predicted the divorce »
3/5

The couples who divorced later did not argue more as newlyweds.

What changed was affection. Over the first two years, the kissing, the compliments and the small favours dropped off faster for them than for anyone else.

The couples who stayed happy started lower and stayed level.

why starting high didn’t help »
4/5

Starting at the top meant there was further to fall.

The couples who lasted were the ones whose level of affection stayed where it was, year after year.

The number that mattered was how much it changed.

the source »
5/5

The Connubial Crucible

Huston, Caughlin, Houts, Smith & George. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2001. The PAIR project.

168 couples from rural Pennsylvania, married in 1981, interviewed repeatedly until 1994.

One long study, mostly working-class white couples. The lines on slide 1 show the pattern, not exact values.

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After the distance closes

Reference row 09 · 5 slides
1/5

Of the long-distance couples who finally moved to the same city, 1 in 3 broke up within three months.

335 long-distance couples
180 moved close
1 in 3 of those split within 3 months
Laura Stafford, PhD. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 2006.
who they followed »
2/5

Laura Stafford’s team followed 335 college students in long-distance relationships.

180 of them ended up moving close to their partner.

Before the move, nearly all of them expected things to get much better.

what happened after the move »
3/5

One in three of the reunited couples broke up within three months of the move.

The reasons they gave: less time to themselves, more arguments, and finding out things about their partner they hadn’t seen from a distance.

why distance hid it »
4/5

From far away, visits are short and everyone is on their best behaviour.

You never see them on a Tuesday when they’re tired.

The couples who had built the most perfect picture of each other were the least stable after the move.

The version you see on visits is real. It’s just not the whole week.

the source »
5/5

When Long-Distance Dating Relationships Become Geographically Close

Stafford, Merolla & Castle. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 2006. Plus Stafford & Merolla, 2007.

335 US college students. In the 2007 follow-up, couples who moved close were about twice as likely to break up as couples who stayed long-distance.

Students only. Two studies, same pattern.

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Do opposites attract?

Reference row 10 · 5 slides
1/5

Across 313 studies, people were drawn to people like them. There was no evidence that opposites attract.

What predicted attraction, across 313 studies
being alike
thinking you’re alike
being oppositesno evidence
Matthew Montoya, PhD. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 2008.
how they tested it »
2/5

Matthew Montoya and his team pooled 313 studies on attraction. 460 results in total.

They checked two things: how alike two people actually were, and how alike they thought they were.

what they found »
3/5

Both were strongly linked to attraction.

Thinking you were alike mattered almost as much as actually being alike.

The idea that being different pulls people together did not show up anywhere in the data.

why the myth sticks »
4/5

The myth sticks because the differences are the part you notice.

You’re tidy, they’re not. You’re loud, they aren’t.

In the data, the things you have in common are what drew you to each other. They’re easy to miss, because you both do them.

The things you agree on never come up, so you don’t count them.

the source »
5/5

Is Actual Similarity Necessary for Attraction?

Montoya, Horton & Kirchner. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 2008. 313 studies, 460 effect sizes.

Actual similarity and perceived similarity both had large links to attraction. No comparable evidence was found for complementarity.

About attraction. It doesn’t say what keeps couples together.

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